Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 •
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.27)
1.59 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.0% | 25.1% | 54.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Atalanta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sassuolo | 0 | 8.7% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sassuolo | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 87% |
| Attack | 75% | 83% |
| Defense | 42% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sassuolo | Atalanta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 38% | 38% | 38% | 57% | 33% | 46% |
| Draws | 15% | 23% | 19% | 29% | 42% | 35% |
| Loses | 46% | 38% | 42% | 14% | 25% | 19% |
SassuoloLLWLWWDLWLWDLWDLDDLLLWWLWW
AtalantaDDWWDDDDDLLLWLWWLWWWDWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Sassuolo | Atalanta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 17 | 32 | 22 | 14 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 19 | 16 | 35 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sassuolo | Atalanta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 77% | 81% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 38% | 38% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sassuolo | Atalanta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sassuolo | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sassuolo | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sassuolo | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.52 @ 1xBet
Away2.15 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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