Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 19:45 • Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.23) 1.12 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 28.1% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.8%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Udinese 0 9.7% 10.8% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.8% 13.2% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUdineseFiorentina
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack40%47%
Defense60%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Udinese Fiorentina
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%38%35%23%15%19%
Draws31%8%19%31%38%35%
Loses38%54%46%46%46%46%

Form: Udinese: DWWLLDDWLWLLWLWLDLWDLWWLLL • Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLLDDLLLWLWDDWLLDWW

League goals

Metric Udinese Fiorentina
HATHAT
GF total131528181230
GF avg1.01.21.11.40.91.2
GA total182139192039
GA avg1.41.61.51.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUdineseFiorentina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%81%77%85%
1.523%42%27%54%
2.58%19%4%12%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUdineseFiorentina
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score336156

Penalties

MetricUdineseFiorentina
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricUdineseFiorentina
Wins21
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-35-11-2
Biggest losses0-35-11-33-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricUdineseFiorentina
Form46%54%
Att46%54%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals35%65%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fiorentina

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.22 @ 1xBet
Away2.46 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.77 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Udinese = 1.22 (league 1.23), Fiorentina = 1.12 (league 1.13)

Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Udinese 0 9.7% 10.8% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.8% 13.2% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1