Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.24) 0.93 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 30.1% 29.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 12.7% 11.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaParma
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack35%35%
Defense53%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Parma
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins23%14%19%21%38%30%
Draws31%36%33%36%31%33%
Loses46%50%48%43%31%37%

Form: Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLLDDLLLWLWDDWLLDWWL • Parma: LDLDWLDDLLDWLWLWDLWDDLLWWWD

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Parma
HATHAT
GF total18123011920
GF avg1.40.91.10.80.70.7
GA total192342191332
GA avg1.51.61.61.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaParma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%85%56%67%
1.526%56%19%33%
2.54%15%0%11%
3.54%0%0%7%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaParma
HATHAT
Clean sheets224369
Failed to score1676612

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaParma
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaParma
Wins23
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-22-11-2
Biggest losses1-33-01-44-0
Goals For5222
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaParma
Form41%59%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h36%64%
Goals44%56%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Parma

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 1.13 (league 1.24), Parma = 0.93 (league 1.13)

Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 12.7% 11.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 29.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1