Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 17:00 •
Luigi Ferraris
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.28)
1.38 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.4% | 27.8% | 51.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.4%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| AS Roma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Genoa | 0 | 11.9% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Genoa | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 41% | 59% |
| Defense | 53% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Genoa | AS Roma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 29% | 15% | 22% | 64% | 54% | 59% |
| Draws | 29% | 38% | 33% | 14% | 8% | 11% |
| Loses | 43% | 46% | 44% | 21% | 38% | 30% |
GenoaDLDLLLDLLWDDWWLLLDDWDWLLDWL
AS RomaWWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWLWWWDLWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Genoa | AS Roma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 15 | 32 | 22 | 15 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 18 | 21 | 39 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Genoa | AS Roma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 78% | 74% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 48% | 48% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 19% | 15% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Genoa | AS Roma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Genoa | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Genoa | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Genoa | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 37.7% | 62.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.64 @ 1xBet
Draw3.27 @ 1xBet
Away2.06 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.59 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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