Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.23) 1.42 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.0% 27.2% 51.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.5%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan 0 11.0% 15.5% 11.0% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAC MilanInter
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack57%100%
Defense79%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AC Milan Inter
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins54%64%59%79%85%81%
Draws31%36%33%7%0%4%
Loses15%0%7%14%15%15%

Form: AC Milan: LWWWWDWDDWDWWWDWWDDWWDWWDLW • Inter: WLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWWWDWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric AC Milan Inter
HATHAT
GF total182543382664
GF avg1.41.81.62.72.02.4
GA total1192012921
GA avg0.80.60.70.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAC MilanInter
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%56%96%44%
1.548%19%74%22%
2.519%0%33%7%
3.50%0%19%4%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAC MilanInter
HATHAT
Clean sheets57126915
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricAC MilanInter
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricAC MilanInter
Wins46
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-00-5
Biggest losses1-21-23-1
Goals For3365
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricAC MilanInter
Form40%60%
Att36%64%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h85%15%
Goals69%31%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Inter

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ William Hill
Away2.46 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.86 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.12 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AC Milan = 0.79 (league 1.23), Inter = 1.42 (league 1.13)

Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan 0 11.0% 15.5% 11.0% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 51.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1