Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Giovanni Zini
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.23) 1.04 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.9% 30.2% 34.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.0%
0 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 12.6% 13.0% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.8% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCremoneseFiorentina
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack20%50%
Defense10%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cremonese Fiorentina
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins15%20%18%21%14%18%
Draws46%20%32%36%36%36%
Loses38%60%50%43%50%46%

Form: Cremonese: WWDDDLDDWLLLWWLDLLDLDLLLDLLL • Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLLDDLLLWLWDDWLLDWWLD

League goals

Metric Cremonese Fiorentina
HATHAT
GF total111122181230
GF avg0.80.70.81.30.91.1
GA total172340192342
GA avg1.31.51.41.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCremoneseFiorentina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%71%82%
1.521%43%25%54%
2.57%14%4%14%
3.50%7%4%0%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCremoneseFiorentina
HATHAT
Clean sheets437325
Failed to score6814268

Penalties

MetricCremoneseFiorentina
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricCremoneseFiorentina
Wins22
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-35-11-2
Biggest losses1-35-01-33-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricCremoneseFiorentina
Form11%89%
Att29%71%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h7%93%
Goals20%80%
Total26.5%73.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fiorentina

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.10 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ 1xBet
Away2.04 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cremonese = 1.04 (league 1.23), Fiorentina = 1.04 (league 1.13)

Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 12.6% 13.0% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.8% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.9% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 34.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1