Serie A — Italy
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.24) 0.95 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 19.3% 15.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter 0 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInterAtalanta
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack100%75%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Inter Atalanta
HATHAT
Played141428151328
Wins79%79%79%53%31%43%
Draws7%0%4%33%38%36%
Loses14%21%18%13%31%21%

Form: Inter: WLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWL • Atalanta: DDWWDDDDDLLLWLWWLWWWDWDWWWLD

League goals

Metric Inter Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total382664241539
GF avg2.71.92.31.61.21.4
GA total121022131326
GA avg0.90.70.80.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInterAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%46%82%64%
1.571%21%39%18%
2.532%7%11%11%
3.518%4%7%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInterAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets69155510
Failed to score112325

Penalties

MetricInterAtalanta
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricInterAtalanta
Wins83
Draws15
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-54-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-33-1
Goals For6543
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricInterAtalanta
Form55%45%
Att57%43%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Inter or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ 1xBet
Draw4.72 @ 1xBet
Away6.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Pinnacle
No2.19 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.43 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Inter = 2.18 (league 1.24), Atalanta = 0.95 (league 1.13)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter 0 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 15.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1