Serie A — Italy
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 17:00 • Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.23) 0.55 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.7% 18.6% 8.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.6%
1 - 0
15.2%
3 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 7.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.2% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapoliLecce
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack83%58%
Defense33%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napoli Lecce
HATHAT
Played131528151328
Wins69%53%61%27%23%25%
Draws31%7%18%27%15%21%
Loses0%40%21%47%62%54%

Form: Napoli: WWWWLWLWWDLWWWLWWDDDWLWWDLWW • Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDLWLWLDLLLLDLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Napoli Lecce
HATHAT
GF total23204311920
GF avg1.81.31.50.70.70.7
GA total121729191837
GA avg0.91.11.01.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapoliLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%68%50%71%
1.557%32%21%43%
2.518%4%0%14%
3.50%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapoliLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets459448
Failed to score2468614

Penalties

MetricNapoliLecce
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricNapoliLecce
Wins42
Draws31
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-10-2
Biggest losses—3-00-34-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricNapoliLecce
Form53%47%
Att59%41%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h93%7%
Goals100%0%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Double chance : Napoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 1xBet
Draw4.66 @ 1xBet
Away9.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.64 @ Pinnacle
No1.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Napoli = 2.04 (league 1.23), Lecce = 0.55 (league 1.14)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 7.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.2% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.7% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 8.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1