Serie A — Italy
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:00 • Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.24) 1.06 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.6% 34.3% 53.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.5%
0 - 0
24.1%
0 - 2
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pisa 0 24.1% 25.5% 13.5% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3%
1 8.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPisaCagliari
Played55
Form7%13%
Attack7%14%
Defense43%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pisa Cagliari
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins7%0%4%29%21%25%
Draws29%57%43%29%36%32%
Loses64%43%54%43%43%43%

Form: Pisa: DLLLDLDDDDWDLLLDLDLDDLLDLLLL • Cagliari: DLWWLDLDLLDDLWLDWLDLWWWLLDDL

League goals

Metric Pisa Cagliari
HATHAT
GF total41620161430
GF avg0.31.10.71.11.01.1
GA total173148172138
GA avg1.22.21.71.21.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePisaCagliari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%82%64%79%
1.525%50%32%50%
2.50%21%7%7%
3.50%11%4%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPisaCagliari
HATHAT
Clean sheets415516
Failed to score105155510

Penalties

MetricPisaCagliari
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricPisaCagliari
Wins13
Draws42
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—4-01-2
Biggest losses0-36-20-23-0
Goals For1242
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricPisaCagliari
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h33%67%
Goals40%60%
Total35.0%65.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cagliari and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ 1xBet
Away3.27 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.73 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pisa = 0.36 (league 1.24), Cagliari = 1.06 (league 1.13)

Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pisa 0 24.1% 25.5% 13.5% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3%
1 8.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 53.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1