Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:00 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.24) 1.98 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.8% 21.7% 52.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 3.9% 7.8% 7.7% 5.1% 2.5% 1.0%
1 4.9% 9.8% 9.7% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.1% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSassuoloBologna
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack57%36%
Defense36%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sassuolo Bologna
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins43%36%39%36%43%39%
Draws14%21%18%14%29%21%
Loses43%43%43%50%29%39%

Form: Sassuolo: LLWLWWDLWLWDLWDLDDLLLWWLWWWL • Bologna: LWLWDWWDDWWWLDLDLLDWLLLLWWWL

League goals

Metric Sassuolo Bologna
HATHAT
GF total171835142337
GF avg1.21.31.31.01.61.3
GA total201838161834
GA avg1.41.31.41.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSassuoloBologna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%79%75%71%
1.539%39%39%36%
2.518%11%14%14%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSassuoloBologna
HATHAT
Clean sheets336538
Failed to score549527

Penalties

MetricSassuoloBologna
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricSassuoloBologna
Wins33
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-52-00-33-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricSassuoloBologna
Form50%50%
Att62%38%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bologna

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ 1xBet
Draw3.29 @ 1xBet
Away3.02 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.91 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Superbet
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sassuolo = 1.26 (league 1.24), Bologna = 1.98 (league 1.13)

Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 3.9% 7.8% 7.7% 5.1% 2.5% 1.0%
1 4.9% 9.8% 9.7% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.1% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 52.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1