Serie A — Italy
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Match Finished
4 - 1
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.24) 0.85 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 34.7% 34.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
16.3%
1 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torino 0 19.2% 16.3% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.1% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorinoParma
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack60%50%
Defense10%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torino Parma
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%21%29%21%36%29%
Draws14%29%21%36%36%36%
Loses50%50%50%43%29%36%

Form: Torino: LDWLLDWWDDDLLLWWLWLLLLWDLLWL • Parma: LDLDWLDDLLDWLWLWDLWDDLLWWWDD

League goals

Metric Torino Parma
HATHAT
GF total15132811920
GF avg1.10.91.00.80.60.7
GA total222749191332
GA avg1.61.91.81.40.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorinoParma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%64%54%64%
1.525%61%18%32%
2.57%25%0%11%
3.50%11%0%7%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorinoParma
HATHAT
Clean sheets55103710
Failed to score3696713

Penalties

MetricTorinoParma
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricTorinoParma
Wins23
Draws32
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-32-11-2
Biggest losses1-56-01-44-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against5644

Model comparison

MetricTorinoParma
Form27%73%
Att55%45%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h62%38%
Goals64%36%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : Torino or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.64 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Torino = 0.80 (league 1.24), Parma = 0.85 (league 1.13)

Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torino 0 19.2% 16.3% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.1% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 34.7% · Away win 34.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1