Serie A — Italy
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 14:00 • New Balance Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.24) 0.56 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.3% 14.3% 6.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.8%
3 - 0
12.1%
1 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hellas Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 4.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.1% 6.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.1% 6.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtalantaHellas Verona
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack67%33%
Defense50%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atalanta Hellas Verona
HATHAT
Played151429141529
Wins53%29%41%7%13%10%
Draws33%43%38%29%33%31%
Loses13%29%21%64%53%59%

Form: Atalanta: DDWWDDDDDLLLWLWWLWWWDWDWWWLDD • Hellas Verona: DLDDLLDDLLDLLWWLLDLLDLLDLLLWL

League goals

Metric Atalanta Hellas Verona
HATHAT
GF total241640121022
GF avg1.61.11.40.90.70.8
GA total131427232851
GA avg0.91.00.91.61.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtalantaHellas Verona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%66%52%83%
1.538%17%21%59%
2.510%10%3%28%
3.57%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtalantaHellas Verona
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510235
Failed to score3256814

Penalties

MetricAtalantaHellas Verona
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricAtalantaHellas Verona
Wins32
Draws52
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-34-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricAtalantaHellas Verona
Form73%27%
Att67%33%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total71.2%29.0%

Advice: Double chance : Atalanta or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ 1xBet
Draw4.96 @ 1xBet
Away9.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.05 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atalanta = 2.46 (league 1.24), Hellas Verona = 0.56 (league 1.13)

Hellas Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 4.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.1% 6.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.1% 6.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.3% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 6.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1