Serie A — Italy
Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 17:30 • Unipol Domus
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.24) 1.38 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 27.3% 45.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 9.5% 13.1% 9.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCagliariNapoli
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack21%64%
Defense43%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cagliari Napoli
HATHAT
Played141529141529
Wins29%20%24%71%53%62%
Draws29%33%31%29%7%17%
Loses43%47%45%0%40%21%

Form: Cagliari: DLWWLDLDLLDDLWLDWLDLWWWLLDDLL • Napoli: WWWWLWLWWDLWWWLWWDDDWLWWDLWWW

League goals

Metric Cagliari Napoli
HATHAT
GF total161531252045
GF avg1.11.01.11.81.31.6
GA total172441131730
GA avg1.21.61.40.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCagliariNapoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%79%79%69%
1.531%52%59%31%
2.57%10%17%3%
3.53%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCagliariNapoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets516459
Failed to score5510246

Penalties

MetricCagliariNapoli
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricCagliariNapoli
Wins34
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-23-0—3-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricCagliariNapoli
Form17%83%
Att25%75%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h7%93%
Goals17%83%
Total25.7%74.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Napoli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.57 @ 1xBet
Away1.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.64 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ Pinnacle
No1.69 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cagliari = 0.98 (league 1.24), Napoli = 1.38 (league 1.13)

Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 9.5% 13.1% 9.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 45.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1