Serie A — Italy
Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:45 • Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.24) 1.38 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 23.7% 31.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Udinese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 4.7% 6.5% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.9% 10.9% 7.5% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.1% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenoaUdinese
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack50%43%
Defense79%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genoa Udinese
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins33%21%28%33%36%34%
Draws27%36%31%27%14%21%
Loses40%43%41%40%50%45%

Form: Genoa: DLDLLLDLLWDDWWLLLDDWDWLLDWLWW • Udinese: DWWLLDDWLWLLWLWLDLWDLWWLLLWDL

League goals

Metric Genoa Udinese
HATHAT
GF total191736161733
GF avg1.31.21.21.11.21.1
GA total192140192342
GA avg1.31.51.41.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenoaUdinese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%76%76%79%
1.541%45%28%41%
2.514%17%10%17%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenoaUdinese
HATHAT
Clean sheets437426
Failed to score639437

Penalties

MetricGenoaUdinese
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricGenoaUdinese
Wins22
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-35-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricGenoaUdinese
Form71%29%
Att54%46%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Double chance : Genoa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.17 @ 1xBet
Away3.99 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genoa = 1.68 (league 1.24), Udinese = 1.38 (league 1.13)

Udinese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 4.7% 6.5% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.9% 10.9% 7.5% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.1% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 31.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1