Serie A — Italy
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 17:00 • Stadio Olimpico
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.23) 0.37 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.0% 20.1% 6.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
2 - 0
18.6%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 11.2% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 7.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.2% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS RomaLecce
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack71%43%
Defense36%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Roma Lecce
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins64%47%55%27%21%24%
Draws14%7%10%27%14%21%
Loses21%47%34%47%64%55%

Form: AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWLWWWDLWDWDLL • Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDLWLWLDLLLLDLWWLLWL

League goals

Metric AS Roma Lecce
HATHAT
GF total221739111021
GF avg1.61.11.30.70.70.7
GA total91423192039
GA avg0.60.90.81.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS RomaLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%59%52%72%
1.545%17%21%45%
2.514%3%0%14%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS RomaLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512448
Failed to score3478614

Penalties

MetricAS RomaLecce
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAS RomaLecce
Wins32
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-10-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-34-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricAS RomaLecce
Form45%55%
Att63%38%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h93%7%
Goals82%18%
Total68.5%31.7%

Advice: Double chance : AS Roma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ 188Bet
Draw4.30 @ 1xBet
Away8.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ Pinnacle
No1.63 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 1.82 (league 1.23), Lecce = 0.37 (league 1.14)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 11.2% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 7.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.2% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.0% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 6.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1