Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 17:00 •
Stadio Olimpico
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.28)
0.37 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9% | 21.0% | 7.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.9%
2 - 0
18.4%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Lecce | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AS Roma | 0 | 11.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.9% | 7.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.4% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.8% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AS Roma | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 67% | 40% |
| Defense | 40% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AS Roma | Lecce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 64% | 47% | 55% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Draws | 14% | 7% | 10% | 27% | 14% | 21% |
| Loses | 21% | 47% | 34% | 47% | 64% | 55% |
AS RomaWWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWLWWWDLWDWDLL
LecceDLLLDWDLLWDLWLWLDLLLLDLWWLLWL
League goals
| Metric | AS Roma | Lecce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 17 | 39 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 9 | 14 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AS Roma | Lecce | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 59% | 52% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 17% | 21% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 3% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AS Roma | Lecce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | AS Roma | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AS Roma | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AS Roma | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 82% | 18% |
| Total | 68.5% | 31.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.52 @ 1xBet
Draw4.33 @ BetVictor
Away8.60 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.31 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
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League standings
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