Serie A — Italy
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 16:00 • Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.24) 0.74 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 32.9% 26.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
0 - 0
17.2%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 17.2% 12.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.9% 6.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBolognaLecce
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack38%31%
Defense62%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bologna Lecce
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins33%50%42%25%20%23%
Draws13%25%19%25%13%19%
Loses53%25%39%50%67%58%

Form: Bologna: LWLWDWWDDWWWLDLDLLDWLLLLWWWLWLW • Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDLWLWLDLLLLDLWWLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Bologna Lecce
HATHAT
GF total142640111021
GF avg0.91.61.30.70.70.7
GA total181937222143
GA avg1.21.21.21.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBolognaLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%71%48%74%
1.539%35%19%45%
2.513%13%0%16%
3.53%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBolognaLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets549448
Failed to score6289716

Penalties

MetricBolognaLecce
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricBolognaLecce
Wins32
Draws21
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-10-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-34-1
Goals For4322
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricBolognaLecce
Form75%25%
Att56%44%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h75%25%
Goals73%27%
Total67.5%32.5%

Advice: Double chance : Bologna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away5.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.75 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Unibet
No1.83 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bologna = 1.02 (league 1.24), Lecce = 0.74 (league 1.13)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 17.2% 12.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.9% 6.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 26.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1