Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 18:45 •
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.24)
0.81 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.7% | 36.1% | 34.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.4%
0 - 1
17.3%
1 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Lazio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fiorentina | 0 | 21.4% | 17.3% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fiorentina | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 40% | 40% |
| Defense | 67% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fiorentina | Lazio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 20% | 25% | 23% | 44% | 27% | 35% |
| Draws | 40% | 31% | 35% | 31% | 40% | 35% |
| Loses | 40% | 44% | 42% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
FiorentinaDDLLDLLDLLDDLLLWLWDDWLLDWWLDWDW
LazioLWLLWDDWDWLWLDWDDLDWLDWDLDLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Fiorentina | Lazio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 17 | 36 | 22 | 10 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 20 | 24 | 44 | 18 | 11 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fiorentina | Lazio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 81% | 55% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 48% | 32% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 13% | 13% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fiorentina | Lazio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fiorentina | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fiorentina | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fiorentina | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.46 @ 1xBet
Draw3.22 @ 1xBet
Away3.40 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.78 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ BetVictor
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Fiorentina
vs
Lazio
Expected goals
0.73
Fiorentina xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
1.54
0.81
Lazio xG
League Avg: 1.12
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.7%
Draw
36.1%
Away
34.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
21.4%
Tip
0 - 1
17.3%
Tip
1 - 0
15.7%
More chances
1.5+
61%
Chance
2.5+
43%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 0.73 (league 1.24), Lazio = 0.81 (league 1.12)
| Lazio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fiorentina | 0 | 21.4% | 17.3% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 36.1% · Away win 34.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1