Serie A — Italy
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.28) 1.60 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.8% 24.6% 61.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 2
14.1%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 11.0% 17.7% 14.1% 7.5% 3.0% 1.0%
1 6.7% 10.7% 8.5% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParmaNapoli
Played55
Form20%100%
Attack27%73%
Defense27%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parma Napoli
HATHAT
Played151631151631
Wins20%31%26%73%56%65%
Draws33%38%35%27%6%16%
Loses47%31%39%0%38%19%
ParmaLDLDWLDDLLDWLWLWDLWDDLLWWWDDLLD
NapoliWWWWLWLWWDLWWWLWWDDDWLWWDLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Parma Napoli
HATHAT
GF total111122262147
GF avg0.70.70.71.71.31.5
GA total211839131730
GA avg1.41.11.30.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParmaNapoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%68%81%65%
1.516%35%55%29%
2.50%13%16%3%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParmaNapoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets37105611
Failed to score7714246

Penalties

MetricParmaNapoli
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricParmaNapoli
Wins34
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-11-3
Biggest losses1-44-0—3-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricParmaNapoli
Form17%83%
Att27%73%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h15%85%
Goals14%86%
Total21.2%78.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ BetVictor
Draw4.03 @ 1xBet
Away1.61 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.73 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
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League standings

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