Serie A — Italy
Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 18:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
2.91 (league 1.24) 0.58 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.8% 10.8% 4.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.9%
3 - 0
12.5%
4 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Pisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 3.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.9% 7.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.5% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.1% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS RomaPisa
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack62%23%
Defense8%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Roma Pisa
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins67%44%55%13%0%6%
Draws13%6%10%25%53%39%
Loses20%50%35%63%47%55%

Form: AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWLWWWDLWDWDLLWL • Pisa: DLLLDLDDDDWDLLLDLDLDDLLDLLLLWLL

League goals

Metric AS Roma Pisa
HATHAT
GF total23194271623
GF avg1.51.21.40.41.10.7
GA total91928193655
GA avg0.61.20.91.22.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS RomaPisa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%58%45%84%
1.545%19%26%48%
2.513%6%3%23%
3.50%3%0%13%
4.50%3%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS RomaPisa
HATHAT
Clean sheets8513415
Failed to score34711617

Penalties

MetricAS RomaPisa
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricAS RomaPisa
Wins31
Draws14
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-1—
Biggest losses0-15-20-35-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3536

Model comparison

MetricAS RomaPisa
Form57%43%
Att73%27%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Winner : AS Roma

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.39 @ 1xBet
Draw5.29 @ Pinnacle
Away10.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.47 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 2.91 (league 1.24), Pisa = 0.58 (league 1.13)

Pisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 3.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.9% 7.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.5% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.1% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 4.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1