Mon, Apr 20 2026 • 18:45 •
Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.28)
1.36 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.7% | 27.9% | 49.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Fiorentina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lecce | 0 | 11.3% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lecce | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 73% |
| Attack | 38% | 88% |
| Defense | 0% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lecce | Fiorentina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 25% | 19% | 22% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 13% | 19% | 38% | 31% | 34% |
| Loses | 50% | 69% | 59% | 38% | 44% | 41% |
LecceDLLLDWDLLWDLWLWLDLLLLDLWWLLWLLLL
FiorentinaDDLLDLLDLLDDLLLWLWDDWLLDWWLDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Lecce | Fiorentina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 37 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 22 | 23 | 45 | 20 | 24 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lecce | Fiorentina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 47% | 75% | 75% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 47% | 25% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 16% | 6% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lecce | Fiorentina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lecce | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lecce | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lecce | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21% | 79% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 32.0% | 68.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.37 @ 1xBet
Away2.22 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.34 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ 10Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…