Serie A — Italy
Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 18:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.27) 0.69 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.1% 31.5% 22.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
16.1%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 16.1% 11.1% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.6% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.4% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS RomaAtalanta
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack80%70%
Defense10%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Roma Atalanta
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins69%44%56%53%33%44%
Draws13%6%9%29%40%34%
Loses19%50%34%18%27%22%
AS RomaWWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWLWWWDLWDWDLLWLW
AtalantaDDWWDDDDDLLLWLWWLWWWDWDWWWLDDWWL

League goals

Metric AS Roma Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total261945251944
GF avg1.61.21.41.51.31.4
GA total91928141428
GA avg0.61.20.90.80.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS RomaAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%81%63%
1.547%19%38%16%
2.516%6%13%9%
3.50%3%6%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS RomaAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets95146612
Failed to score347426

Penalties

MetricAS RomaAtalanta
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricAS RomaAtalanta
Wins33
Draws15
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-15-20-33-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricAS RomaAtalanta
Form43%57%
Att53%47%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total37.7%62.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 10Bet
No2.20 @ Unibet
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League standings

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