1. Division — Belarus
Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 14:00 • Stadyen Lakamatyu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.86 (league 1.66) 0.96 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.7% 8.0% 4.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
7.7%
4 - 0
7.4%
3 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Orsha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Gomel 0 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.0% 5.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 7.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 7.4% 7.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 5.7% 5.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotiv GomelOrsha
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack44%22%
Defense78%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotiv Gomel Orsha
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins80%25%50%18%27%23%
Draws20%42%32%27%9%18%
Loses0%33%18%55%64%59%

Form: Lokomotiv Gomel: DDLWWDWWDLWLWDWDWWDWLW • Orsha: LWLLLDWWDLLWWLLLLLDLLD

League goals

Metric Lokomotiv Gomel Orsha
HATHAT
GF total201636151833
GF avg2.01.31.61.41.61.5
GA total91827263561
GA avg0.91.51.22.43.22.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotiv GomelOrsha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%86%86%
1.550%36%41%77%
2.527%9%14%45%
3.59%0%5%32%
4.50%0%5%23%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotiv GomelOrsha
HATHAT
Clean sheets415123
Failed to score145213

Penalties

MetricLokomotiv GomelOrsha
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricLokomotiv GomelOrsha
Wins22
Draws21
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-43-02-5
Biggest losses—2-00-57-2
Goals For4435
Goals Against3357

Model comparison

MetricLokomotiv GomelOrsha
Form83%17%
Att67%33%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total69.2%30.8%

Advice: Winner : Lokomotiv Gomel

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Gomel = 3.86 (league 1.66), Orsha = 0.96 (league 1.49)

Orsha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Gomel 0 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.0% 5.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 7.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 7.4% 7.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 5.7% 5.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.7% · Draw 8.0% · Away win 4.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1