1. Division — Belarus
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.66) 0.70 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.2% 24.4% 15.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv Gomel
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Dnepr Mogilev 0 9.8% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 11.1% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.0% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Dnepr MogilevLokomotiv Gomel
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack69%77%
Defense46%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Dnepr Mogilev Lokomotiv Gomel
HATHAT
Played131427131326
Wins69%57%63%77%23%50%
Draws15%21%19%15%38%27%
Loses15%21%19%8%38%23%

Form: FC Dnepr Mogilev: DWLWDWWWWWLWWDDWDWWWWLWWWLL • Lokomotiv Gomel: DDLWWDWWDLWLWDWDWWDWLWWLLW

League goals

Metric FC Dnepr Mogilev Lokomotiv Gomel
HATHAT
GF total242650281745
GF avg1.81.91.92.21.31.7
GA total102030112031
GA avg0.81.41.10.81.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Dnepr MogilevLokomotiv Gomel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%81%73%
1.563%30%50%38%
2.526%15%31%8%
3.57%0%12%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Dnepr MogilevLokomotiv Gomel
HATHAT
Clean sheets639617
Failed to score213145

Penalties

MetricFC Dnepr MogilevLokomotiv Gomel
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricFC Dnepr MogilevLokomotiv Gomel
Wins52
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-02-4
Biggest losses0-33-01-22-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricFC Dnepr MogilevLokomotiv Gomel
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h29%71%
Goals50%50%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lokomotiv Gomel

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Dnepr Mogilev = 1.63 (league 1.66), Lokomotiv Gomel = 0.70 (league 1.49)

Lokomotiv Gomel
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Dnepr Mogilev 0 9.8% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 11.1% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.0% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.2% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 15.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1