Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 18:00 • Villa Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.50) 0.20 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.0% 78.8% 17.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
78.0%
0 - 1
15.4%
1 - 0
3.9%
Score & goals probability table
Crystal Palace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 78.0% 15.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston VillaCrystal Palace
Played22
Form17%33%
Attack0%7%
Defense93%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

11%
FT probability

2.5+

8%
FT probability

3.5+

5%
FT probability

BTTS

17%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa Crystal Palace
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%50%100%100%100%
Loses0%100%50%0%0%0%

Form: Aston Villa: DL • Crystal Palace: DD

League goals

Metric Aston Villa Crystal Palace
HATHAT
GF total000101
GF avg0.00.00.01.00.00.5
GA total011101
GA avg0.01.00.51.00.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston VillaCrystal Palace
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%50%50%50%
1.50%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston VillaCrystal Palace
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricAston VillaCrystal Palace
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAston VillaCrystal Palace
Wins00
Draws12
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For0010
Goals Against0110

Model comparison

MetricAston VillaCrystal Palace
Form33%67%
Att0%100%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h7%93%
Goals20%80%
Total27.5%72.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Crystal Palace and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Betano
Draw3.59 @ 1xBet
Away3.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa = 0.05 (league 1.50), Crystal Palace = 0.20 (league 1.26)

Crystal Palace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 78.0% 15.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.0% · Draw 78.8% · Away win 17.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1