Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 13:00 • American Express Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.55) 3.16 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 9.7% 75.7%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.7%
0 - 2
11.1%
0 - 4
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 2.2% 7.0% 11.1% 11.7% 9.2% 5.8%
1 1.4% 4.5% 7.2% 7.6% 6.0% 3.8%
2 0.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 1.9% 1.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrightonManchester City
Played22
Form17%50%
Attack7%29%
Defense79%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.54 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.52 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton Manchester City
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%0%100%50%
Draws100%0%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%50%100%0%50%

Form: Brighton: DL • Manchester City: WL

League goals

Metric Brighton Manchester City
HATHAT
GF total101044
GF avg1.00.00.50.04.02.0
GA total123202
GA avg1.02.01.52.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrightonManchester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%50%50%
1.50%50%50%50%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrightonManchester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricBrightonManchester City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBrightonManchester City
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———0-4
Biggest losses—2-00-2—
Goals For1004
Goals Against1220

Model comparison

MetricBrightonManchester City
Form25%75%
Att20%80%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total32.2%68.0%

Advice: Winner : Manchester City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.95 @ Betano
Draw3.82 @ 1xBet
Away2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Pinnacle
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Brighton = 0.65 (league 1.55), Manchester City = 3.16 (league 1.27)

Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 2.2% 7.0% 11.1% 11.7% 9.2% 5.8%
1 1.4% 4.5% 7.2% 7.6% 6.0% 3.8%
2 0.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 1.9% 1.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 9.7% · Away win 75.7%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1