Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:30 • Emirates Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.66 (league 1.50) 0.59 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.8% 12.8% 6.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
12.1%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 3.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.3% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.1% 7.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.1% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenalManchester City
Played44
Form75%50%
Attack69%62%
Defense92%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.38 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Manchester City
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%50%50%50%

Form: Arsenal: WWLW • Manchester City: WLLW

League goals

Metric Arsenal Manchester City
HATHAT
GF total819358
GF avg4.00.52.31.52.52.0
GA total011224
GA avg0.00.50.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenalManchester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%25%75%50%
1.550%0%50%50%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.525%0%25%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenalManchester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricArsenalManchester City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricArsenalManchester City
Wins21
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-13-00-4
Biggest losses1-00-22-1
Goals For5134
Goals Against0122

Model comparison

MetricArsenalManchester City
Form60%40%
Att53%47%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h75%25%
Goals69%31%
Total67.4%32.6%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ 1xBet
Draw3.84 @ 1xBet
Away3.90 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.12 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Arsenal = 2.66 (league 1.50), Manchester City = 0.59 (league 1.26)

Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 3.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.3% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.1% 7.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.1% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.8% · Draw 12.8% · Away win 6.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1