Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 • Vitality Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.52) 0.31 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 41.9% 13.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.1%
1 - 0
26.2%
0 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 33.1% 10.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.2% 8.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBournemouthNewcastle
Played44
Form75%42%
Attack38%19%
Defense69%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.53 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.33 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

44%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bournemouth Newcastle
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses0%50%25%50%0%25%

Form: Bournemouth: LWWW • Newcastle: DLDW

League goals

Metric Bournemouth Newcastle
HATHAT
GF total336303
GF avg1.51.51.51.50.00.8
GA total145303
GA avg0.52.01.31.50.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBournemouthNewcastle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%25%
1.550%25%25%25%
2.50%25%0%25%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBournemouthNewcastle
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricBournemouthNewcastle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBournemouthNewcastle
Wins00
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-11-0—
Biggest losses—4-22-3—
Goals For2220
Goals Against1430

Model comparison

MetricBournemouthNewcastle
Form64%36%
Att67%33%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total62.2%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Bournemouth or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Betano
Draw3.62 @ 1xBet
Away3.55 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bournemouth = 0.79 (league 1.52), Newcastle = 0.31 (league 1.27)

Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 33.1% 10.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.2% 8.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 41.9% · Away win 13.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1