Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Turf Moor
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.55) 0.20 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.6% 28.6% 5.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.1%
0 - 0
22.5%
2 - 0
18.8%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 22.5% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.1% 5.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurnleyNottingham Forest
Played44
Form25%33%
Attack29%29%
Defense50%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 14 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.88 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burnley Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses50%100%75%50%50%50%

Form: Burnley: LWLL • Nottingham Forest: WDLL

League goals

Metric Burnley Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
GF total224314
GF avg1.01.01.01.50.51.0
GA total167448
GA avg0.53.01.82.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurnleyNottingham Forest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%50%100%
1.550%50%25%50%
2.50%50%25%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurnleyNottingham Forest
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricBurnleyNottingham Forest
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBurnleyNottingham Forest
Wins11
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-1—
Biggest losses0-13-00-33-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricBurnleyNottingham Forest
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Burnley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ 1xBet
Away2.30 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.86 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burnley = 1.29 (league 1.55), Nottingham Forest = 0.20 (league 1.27)

Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 22.5% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.1% 5.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.6% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 5.5%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1