Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:30 • Anfield
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.50) 1.19 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.7% 17.7% 16.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
7.8%
3 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Everton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool 0 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.3% 7.5% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.8% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.5% 7.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiverpoolEverton
Played44
Form100%58%
Attack75%42%
Defense67%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.35 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 13 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liverpool Everton
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%100%100%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%25%

Form: Liverpool: WWWW • Everton: LWWD

League goals

Metric Liverpool Everton
HATHAT
GF total549235
GF avg2.52.02.31.01.51.3
GA total224033
GA avg1.01.01.00.01.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiverpoolEverton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%50%
1.550%50%50%25%
2.550%0%25%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiverpoolEverton
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricLiverpoolEverton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLiverpoolEverton
Wins42
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-32-02-3
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against2202

Model comparison

MetricLiverpoolEverton
Form63%37%
Att64%36%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Double chance : Liverpool or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.82 @ 1xBet
Away6.71 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.36 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liverpool = 2.49 (league 1.50), Everton = 1.19 (league 1.26)

Everton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool 0 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.3% 7.5% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.8% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.5% 7.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.7% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 16.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1