Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:30 • Old Trafford
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.56) 4.25 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.1% 8.7% 58.4%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.6%
1 - 3
6.2%
1 - 5
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 0.3% 1.4% 3.1% 4.3% 4.6% 3.9%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.4% 6.2% 6.6% 5.6%
2 0.4% 1.5% 3.2% 4.5% 4.8% 4.0%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.3% 1.9%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester UnitedChelsea
Played44
Form33%67%
Attack25%56%
Defense56%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 19 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.83 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United Chelsea
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%50%50%
Draws0%50%25%50%50%50%
Loses50%50%50%0%0%0%

Form: Manchester United: LDWL • Chelsea: DWWD

League goals

Metric Manchester United Chelsea
HATHAT
GF total314279
GF avg1.50.51.01.03.52.3
GA total347033
GA avg1.52.01.80.01.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester UnitedChelsea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%75%50%
1.525%50%75%25%
2.525%25%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester UnitedChelsea
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricManchester UnitedChelsea
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricManchester UnitedChelsea
Wins12
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—2-01-5
Biggest losses0-13-0——
Goals For3125
Goals Against2302

Model comparison

MetricManchester UnitedChelsea
Form33%67%
Att31%69%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total37.7%62.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Chelsea and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ 1xBet
Draw3.85 @ 1xBet
Away2.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ 1xBet
No2.69 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester United = 1.44 (league 1.56), Chelsea = 4.25 (league 1.24)

Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 0.3% 1.4% 3.1% 4.3% 4.6% 3.9%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.4% 6.2% 6.6% 5.6%
2 0.4% 1.5% 3.2% 4.5% 4.8% 4.0%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.3% 1.9%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.1% · Draw 8.7% · Away win 58.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1