Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 • Stadium of Light
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.50) 0.05 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.8% 43.0% 2.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
41.3%
1 - 0
34.5%
2 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 41.3% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.5% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSunderlandAston Villa
Played44
Form58%17%
Attack31%0%
Defense81%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.30 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

42%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sunderland Aston Villa
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%25%50%50%50%
Loses0%50%25%50%50%50%

Form: Sunderland: WLWD • Aston Villa: DLLD

League goals

Metric Sunderland Aston Villa
HATHAT
GF total505000
GF avg2.50.01.30.00.00.0
GA total123314
GA avg0.51.00.81.50.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSunderlandAston Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%0%50%
1.550%25%0%25%
2.525%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSunderlandAston Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricSunderlandAston Villa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSunderlandAston Villa
Wins10
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0
Biggest losses2-00-31-0
Goals For3000
Goals Against1231

Model comparison

MetricSunderlandAston Villa
Form78%22%
Att100%0%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total49.3%50.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Sunderland and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ 1xBet
Away2.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.01 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sunderland = 0.83 (league 1.50), Aston Villa = 0.05 (league 1.27)

Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 41.3% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.5% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.8% · Draw 43.0% · Away win 2.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1