Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Villa Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.50) 0.59 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.6% 50.8% 38.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
45.2%
0 - 1
26.9%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Fulham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 45.2% 26.9% 8.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston VillaFulham
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack6%38%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa Fulham
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%0%0%67%0%40%
Draws50%67%60%33%50%40%
Loses50%33%40%0%50%20%

Form: Aston Villa: DLLDD • Fulham: DDLWW

League goals

Metric Aston Villa Fulham
HATHAT
GF total011516
GF avg0.00.30.21.70.51.2
GA total325235
GA avg1.50.71.00.71.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston VillaFulham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.520%60%80%80%
1.50%20%20%20%
2.50%20%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston VillaFulham
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricAston VillaFulham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAston VillaFulham
Wins00
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1
Biggest losses0-31-02-0
Goals For0131
Goals Against3112

Model comparison

MetricAston VillaFulham
Form27%73%
Att14%86%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h100%0%
Goals79%21%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fulham and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ 1xBet
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Betfair
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa = 0.20 (league 1.50), Fulham = 0.59 (league 1.26)

Fulham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 45.2% 26.9% 8.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.6% · Draw 50.8% · Away win 38.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1