Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:30 • Brentford Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.50) 0.40 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.1% 18.0% 6.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
2 - 0
18.2%
3 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 9.2% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrentfordManchester United
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack55%55%
Defense9%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brentford Manchester United
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%67%0%40%
Draws50%0%20%0%50%20%
Loses0%100%60%33%50%40%

Form: Brentford: LWLDL • Manchester United: LDWLW

League goals

Metric Brentford Manchester United
HATHAT
GF total336516
GF avg1.51.01.21.70.51.2
GA total2810448
GA avg1.02.72.01.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrentfordManchester United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%60%100%
1.520%80%40%40%
2.50%40%20%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrentfordManchester United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricBrentfordManchester United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBrentfordManchester United
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-03-2
Biggest losses3-10-13-0
Goals For2131
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricBrentfordManchester United
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.46 @ 1xBet
Draw3.81 @ 1xBet
Away2.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Brentford = 1.99 (league 1.50), Manchester United = 0.40 (league 1.26)

Manchester United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 9.2% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.1% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 6.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1