Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Stamford Bridge
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.50) 0.40 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.3% 28.5% 11.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.7%
0 - 0
17.8%
2 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 17.8% 7.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.7% 9.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaBrighton
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack83%50%
Defense58%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Brighton
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%33%0%20%
Draws50%33%40%67%0%40%
Loses0%33%20%0%100%40%

Form: Chelsea: DWWDL • Brighton: DLWLD

League goals

Metric Chelsea Brighton
HATHAT
GF total2810516
GF avg1.02.72.01.70.51.2
GA total055448
GA avg0.01.71.01.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaBrighton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%80%100%
1.560%40%40%60%
2.520%0%0%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaBrighton
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricChelseaBrighton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricChelseaBrighton
Wins21
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-52-1
Biggest losses2-12-0
Goals For2521
Goals Against0222

Model comparison

MetricChelseaBrighton
Form62%38%
Att63%38%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total59.4%40.8%

Advice: Double chance : Chelsea or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ 1xBet
Draw4.01 @ 1xBet
Away4.04 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.41 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.47 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 1.33 (league 1.50), Brighton = 0.40 (league 1.26)

Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 17.8% 7.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.7% 9.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.3% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 11.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1