Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 19:00 • Vitality Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.52) 0.16 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.3% 27.9% 4.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
30.0%
0 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
19.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fulham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 22.7% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.0% 4.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.7% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBournemouthFulham
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack50%50%
Defense75%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bournemouth Fulham
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%67%0%33%
Draws33%33%33%33%33%33%
Loses0%33%17%0%67%33%

Form: Bournemouth: LWWWDD • Fulham: DDLWWL

League goals

Metric Bournemouth Fulham
HATHAT
GF total358527
GF avg1.01.71.31.70.71.2
GA total167268
GA avg0.32.01.20.72.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBournemouthFulham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%83%83%
1.550%33%17%33%
2.50%17%17%17%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBournemouthFulham
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricBournemouthFulham
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBournemouthFulham
Wins32
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-1—
Biggest losses—4-2—3-1
Goals For2231
Goals Against1413

Model comparison

MetricBournemouthFulham
Form61%39%
Att50%50%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total66.7%33.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bournemouth or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 1xBet
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bournemouth = 1.32 (league 1.52), Fulham = 0.16 (league 1.28)

Fulham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 22.7% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.0% 4.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.7% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 4.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1