Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:30 • Brentford Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.50) 1.58 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.9% 24.5% 42.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 5.4% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.4% 9.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.8% 7.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.1% 3.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrentfordManchester City
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack62%77%
Defense38%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brentford Manchester City
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%0%33%67%33%50%
Draws33%0%17%0%33%17%
Loses0%100%50%33%33%33%

Form: Brentford: LWLDLW • Manchester City: WLLWDW

League goals

Metric Brentford Manchester City
HATHAT
GF total6398614
GF avg2.01.01.52.72.02.3
GA total3811336
GA avg1.02.71.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrentfordManchester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%83%67%
1.533%67%50%33%
2.517%33%50%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrentfordManchester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricBrentfordManchester City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBrentfordManchester City
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-15-10-4
Biggest losses3-10-22-1
Goals For3154
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricBrentfordManchester City
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.35 @ 1xBet
Draw4.54 @ 1xBet
Away1.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.41 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.33 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Brentford = 1.33 (league 1.50), Manchester City = 1.58 (league 1.26)

Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 5.4% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.4% 9.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.8% 7.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.1% 3.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.9% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 42.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1