Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:30 • Stamford Bridge
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.55) 1.34 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 28.0% 48.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 11.3% 15.1% 10.2% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.7% 8.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.0% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaLiverpool
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack73%53%
Defense47%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Liverpool
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%100%67%83%
Draws33%33%33%0%0%0%
Loses33%33%33%0%33%17%

Form: Chelsea: DWWDLL • Liverpool: WWWWWL

League goals

Metric Chelsea Liverpool
HATHAT
GF total38117512
GF avg1.02.71.82.31.72.0
GA total358347
GA avg1.01.71.31.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaLiverpool
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%100%67%
1.550%50%50%50%
2.517%17%33%0%
3.517%0%17%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaLiverpool
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricChelseaLiverpool
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricChelseaLiverpool
Wins25
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-54-22-3
Biggest losses1-32-1—2-1
Goals For2543
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricChelseaLiverpool
Form37%63%
Att58%42%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Liverpool

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.78 @ 1xBet
Away2.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ Superbet
No2.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 0.84 (league 1.55), Liverpool = 1.34 (league 1.27)

Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 11.3% 15.1% 10.2% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.7% 8.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.0% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 48.2%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1