Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • St. James' Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.50) 0.94 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.2% 26.3% 24.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 8.9% 8.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.1% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastleNottingham Forest
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack29%14%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%33%0%17%
Draws0%100%50%0%67%33%
Loses67%0%33%67%33%50%

Form: Newcastle: DLDWDL • Nottingham Forest: WDLLDL

League goals

Metric Newcastle Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
GF total404325
GF avg1.30.00.71.00.70.8
GA total5055510
GA avg1.70.00.81.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastleNottingham Forest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%33%50%100%
1.517%33%17%33%
2.50%17%17%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastleNottingham Forest
HATHAT
Clean sheets134000
Failed to score033213

Penalties

MetricNewcastleNottingham Forest
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNewcastleNottingham Forest
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-03-1
Biggest losses2-30-33-0
Goals For2031
Goals Against3033

Model comparison

MetricNewcastleNottingham Forest
Form71%29%
Att67%33%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h71%29%
Goals55%45%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Double chance : Newcastle or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.64 @ 1xBet
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.33 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle = 1.48 (league 1.50), Nottingham Forest = 0.94 (league 1.27)

Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 8.9% 8.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.1% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 24.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1