Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Molineux Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.50) 3.39 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.6% 11.5% 67.0%
best score tips
1 - 3
8.0%
1 - 2
7.1%
0 - 3
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wolves 0 1.1% 3.7% 6.2% 7.0% 6.0% 4.0%
1 1.2% 4.2% 7.1% 8.0% 6.8% 4.6%
2 0.7% 2.4% 4.0% 4.5% 3.8% 2.6%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWolvesBrighton
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack29%57%
Defense36%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wolves Brighton
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%0%0%33%33%33%
Draws0%33%17%67%0%33%
Loses100%67%83%0%67%33%

Form: Wolves: LLLLLD • Brighton: DLWLDW

League goals

Metric Wolves Brighton
HATHAT
GF total314549
GF avg1.00.30.71.71.31.5
GA total10313459
GA avg3.31.02.21.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWolvesBrighton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%83%100%
1.517%50%50%50%
2.50%50%17%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWolvesBrighton
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricWolvesBrighton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricWolvesBrighton
Wins01
Draws01
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-3
Biggest losses0-41-02-0
Goals For2123
Goals Against4122

Model comparison

MetricWolvesBrighton
Form13%88%
Att33%67%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total32.5%67.7%

Advice: Winner : Brighton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ Bet365
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away2.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.02 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.14 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Wolves = 1.14 (league 1.50), Brighton = 3.39 (league 1.27)

Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wolves 0 1.1% 3.7% 6.2% 7.0% 6.0% 4.0%
1 1.2% 4.2% 7.1% 8.0% 6.8% 4.6%
2 0.7% 2.4% 4.0% 4.5% 3.8% 2.6%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.6% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 67.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1