Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Amex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.50) 0.93 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.4% 33.7% 36.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.0%
0 - 1
16.6%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 18.0% 16.6% 7.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrightonNewcastle
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack82%36%
Defense36%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton Newcastle
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%50%0%29%
Draws67%25%43%0%100%43%
Loses0%50%29%50%0%29%

Form: Brighton: DLWLDWD • Newcastle: DLDWDLW

League goals

Metric Brighton Newcastle
HATHAT
GF total5510606
GF avg1.71.31.41.50.00.9
GA total4610505
GA avg1.31.51.41.30.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrightonNewcastle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%100%57%29%
1.543%43%29%29%
2.514%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrightonNewcastle
HATHAT
Clean sheets000235
Failed to score011033

Penalties

MetricBrightonNewcastle
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBrightonNewcastle
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-0
Biggest losses2-02-3
Goals For2320
Goals Against2230

Model comparison

MetricBrightonNewcastle
Form50%50%
Att69%31%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total58.6%41.4%

Advice: Double chance : Brighton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ 188Bet
Draw3.68 @ 1xBet
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brighton = 0.79 (league 1.50), Newcastle = 0.93 (league 1.26)

Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 18.0% 16.6% 7.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 36.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1