Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Turf Moor
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.50) 0.55 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.8% 25.5% 13.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
2 - 0
14.6%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 12.5% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.0% 10.6% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.6% 8.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurnleyLeeds
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack45%55%
Defense0%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burnley Leeds
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%25%33%29%
Draws33%0%14%50%0%29%
Loses33%100%71%25%67%43%

Form: Burnley: LWLLDLL • Leeds: WLDLWDL

League goals

Metric Burnley Leeds
HATHAT
GF total347437
GF avg1.01.01.01.01.01.0
GA total213154711
GA avg0.73.32.11.02.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurnleyLeeds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%57%71%
1.529%57%29%43%
2.50%43%14%14%
3.50%14%0%14%
4.50%14%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurnleyLeeds
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricBurnleyLeeds
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBurnleyLeeds
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-01-3
Biggest losses0-15-11-25-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against1525

Model comparison

MetricBurnleyLeeds
Form17%83%
Att45%55%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h38%62%
Goals27%73%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leeds

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.32 @ 1xBet
Away2.26 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burnley = 1.53 (league 1.50), Leeds = 0.55 (league 1.26)

Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 12.5% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.0% 10.6% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.6% 8.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 13.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1