Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Etihad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.05 (league 1.50) 1.03 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.7% 12.9% 9.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Everton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.9% 8.1% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.0% 8.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.1% 6.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester CityEverton
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack100%64%
Defense64%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City Everton
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%50%57%50%33%43%
Draws0%25%14%50%0%29%
Loses33%25%29%0%67%29%

Form: Manchester City: WLLWDWW • Everton: LWWDLDW

League goals

Metric Manchester City Everton
HATHAT
GF total8715549
GF avg2.71.82.11.31.31.3
GA total336257
GA avg1.00.80.90.51.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester CityEverton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%71%71%
1.543%29%43%29%
2.543%0%14%0%
3.529%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester CityEverton
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricManchester CityEverton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricManchester CityEverton
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-42-02-3
Biggest losses0-22-12-1
Goals For5423
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricManchester CityEverton
Form56%44%
Att61%39%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h93%7%
Goals85%15%
Total71.2%28.8%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ 1xBet
Draw4.70 @ 1xBet
Away8.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.97 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 3.05 (league 1.50), Everton = 1.03 (league 1.26)

Everton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.9% 8.1% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.0% 8.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.1% 6.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.7% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 9.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1