Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:30 • City Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.50) 3.63 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.3% 10.1% 66.5%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.7%
1 - 4
7.0%
0 - 3
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest 0 0.9% 3.1% 5.6% 6.8% 6.2% 4.5%
1 1.0% 3.5% 6.4% 7.7% 7.0% 5.1%
2 0.5% 2.0% 3.6% 4.4% 4.0% 2.9%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNottingham ForestChelsea
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack9%73%
Defense9%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nottingham Forest Chelsea
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%50%33%43%
Draws0%50%29%25%33%29%
Loses67%50%57%25%33%29%

Form: Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLL • Chelsea: DWWDLLW

League goals

Metric Nottingham Forest Chelsea
HATHAT
GF total3255813
GF avg1.00.50.71.32.71.9
GA total5712459
GA avg1.71.81.71.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNottingham ForestChelsea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%100%86%71%
1.514%43%57%43%
2.514%29%14%14%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNottingham ForestChelsea
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricNottingham ForestChelsea
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNottingham ForestChelsea
Wins12
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-01-5
Biggest losses0-33-01-32-1
Goals For3125
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricNottingham ForestChelsea
Form13%88%
Att11%89%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total29.0%71.2%

Advice: Winner : Chelsea

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.47 @ 1xBet
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away2.20 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nottingham Forest = 1.13 (league 1.50), Chelsea = 3.63 (league 1.26)

Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest 0 0.9% 3.1% 5.6% 6.8% 6.2% 4.5%
1 1.0% 3.5% 6.4% 7.7% 7.0% 5.1%
2 0.5% 2.0% 3.6% 4.4% 4.0% 2.9%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.3% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 66.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1