Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.50) 0.17 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 51.0% 8.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
46.3%
1 - 0
28.0%
2 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tottenham 0 46.3% 7.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.0% 4.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTottenhamAston Villa
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack62%46%
Defense62%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tottenham Aston Villa
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%75%57%50%0%29%
Draws33%25%29%25%67%43%
Loses33%0%14%25%33%29%

Form: Tottenham: WWLWDDW • Aston Villa: DLLDDWW

League goals

Metric Tottenham Aston Villa
HATHAT
GF total4913516
GF avg1.32.31.91.30.30.9
GA total235527
GA avg0.70.80.71.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTottenhamAston Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%43%71%
1.571%14%29%14%
2.529%0%14%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTottenhamAston Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score101224

Penalties

MetricTottenhamAston Villa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTottenhamAston Villa
Wins20
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-1
Biggest losses0-10-31-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against1231

Model comparison

MetricTottenhamAston Villa
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h40%60%
Goals59%41%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tottenham or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ Dafabet
Away3.50 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tottenham = 0.60 (league 1.50), Aston Villa = 0.17 (league 1.26)

Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tottenham 0 46.3% 7.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.0% 4.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 51.0% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1