Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:00 • Vitality Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.54) 0.20 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.8% 19.6% 3.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.0%
2 - 0
21.9%
0 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 14.3% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.0% 4.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.9% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBournemouthNottingham Forest
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack50%5%
Defense65%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bournemouth Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%25%0%13%
Draws25%50%38%0%50%25%
Loses0%25%13%75%50%63%

Form: Bournemouth: LWWWDDWD • Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Bournemouth Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
GF total6814325
GF avg1.52.01.80.80.50.6
GA total29118715
GA avg0.52.31.42.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBournemouthNottingham Forest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%38%100%
1.563%38%13%50%
2.525%25%13%38%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBournemouthNottingham Forest
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score101325

Penalties

MetricBournemouthNottingham Forest
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBournemouthNottingham Forest
Wins31
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-1—
Biggest losses—4-20-33-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against1433

Model comparison

MetricBournemouthNottingham Forest
Form90%10%
Att91%9%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h75%25%
Goals69%31%
Total78.8%21.2%

Advice: Double chance : Bournemouth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betano
Draw4.10 @ Dafabet
Away4.70 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.98 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bournemouth = 1.75 (league 1.54), Nottingham Forest = 0.20 (league 1.27)

Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 14.3% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.0% 4.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.9% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.8% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 3.6%

Vtot 24 , Vtod1