Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 16:30 • Old Trafford
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.50) 1.03 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.5% 23.1% 21.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 5.9% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.6% 10.9% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester UnitedBrighton
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack64%82%
Defense27%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United Brighton
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%50%25%38%
Draws0%25%13%50%25%38%
Loses25%50%38%0%50%25%

Form: Manchester United: LDWLWLWW • Brighton: DLWLDWDW

League goals

Metric Manchester United Brighton
HATHAT
GF total74117512
GF avg1.81.01.41.81.31.5
GA total48125611
GA avg1.02.01.51.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester UnitedBrighton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%88%100%
1.550%38%50%38%
2.513%25%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester UnitedBrighton
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricManchester UnitedBrighton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricManchester UnitedBrighton
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-11-3
Biggest losses0-13-02-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricManchester UnitedBrighton
Form53%47%
Att44%56%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Brighton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ 1xBet
Away3.47 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Manchester United = 1.80 (league 1.50), Brighton = 1.03 (league 1.27)

Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 5.9% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.6% 10.9% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.5% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 21.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1