Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:00 • Molineux Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 3
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.56) 2.27 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 19.6% 40.3%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 2
6.8%
2 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Burnley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wolves 0 1.3% 2.9% 3.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6%
1 2.7% 6.0% 6.8% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3%
2 2.8% 6.3% 7.2% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4%
3 2.0% 4.5% 5.1% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
4 1.0% 2.4% 2.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWolvesBurnley
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack15%25%
Defense60%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wolves Burnley
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%0%0%50%0%25%
Draws25%25%25%25%0%13%
Loses75%75%75%25%100%63%

Form: Wolves: LLLLLDDL • Burnley: LWLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Wolves Burnley
HATHAT
GF total415549
GF avg1.00.30.61.31.01.1
GA total1151621315
GA avg2.81.32.00.53.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWolvesBurnley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%75%75%
1.513%50%38%50%
2.50%38%0%38%
3.50%13%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWolvesBurnley
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricWolvesBurnley
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWolvesBurnley
Wins01
Draws21
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-0—
Biggest losses0-42-00-15-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against4215

Model comparison

MetricWolvesBurnley
Form33%67%
Att38%63%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h71%29%
Goals78%22%
Total53.3%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Wolves or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Dafabet
Draw3.58 @ 1xBet
Away4.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wolves = 2.11 (league 1.56), Burnley = 2.27 (league 1.24)

Burnley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wolves 0 1.3% 2.9% 3.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6%
1 2.7% 6.0% 6.8% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3%
2 2.8% 6.3% 7.2% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4%
3 2.0% 4.5% 5.1% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
4 1.0% 2.4% 2.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 40.3%

Vtot 15 , Vtod1