Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • Turf Moor
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.56) 0.40 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 51.8% 23.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
44.0%
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
17.8%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 44.0% 17.8% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 7.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurnleyArsenal
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack67%58%
Defense17%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burnley Arsenal
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%20%33%80%75%78%
Draws25%0%11%20%0%11%
Loses25%80%56%0%25%11%

Form: Burnley: LWLLDLLWW • Arsenal: WWLWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Burnley Arsenal
HATHAT
GF total571212416
GF avg1.31.41.32.41.01.8
GA total21517123
GA avg0.53.01.90.20.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurnleyArsenal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%89%33%
1.544%56%44%0%
2.511%33%22%0%
3.50%11%11%0%
4.50%11%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurnleyArsenal
HATHAT
Clean sheets202426
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricBurnleyArsenal
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBurnleyArsenal
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-35-01-2
Biggest losses0-15-1—1-0
Goals For2352
Goals Against1511

Model comparison

MetricBurnleyArsenal
Form35%65%
Att53%47%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h15%85%
Goals17%83%
Total31.0%69.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arsenal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home12.50 @ 188Bet
Draw6.04 @ Pinnacle
Away1.31 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Pinnacle
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.12 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burnley = 0.42 (league 1.56), Arsenal = 0.40 (league 1.24)

Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 44.0% 17.8% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 7.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 51.8% · Away win 23.7%

Vtot 80 , Vtod1