Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 20:00 • Anfield
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.56) 0.84 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 32.0% 29.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool 0 15.5% 13.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.8% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.1% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiverpoolAston Villa
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack58%75%
Defense17%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liverpool Aston Villa
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%40%56%60%25%44%
Draws0%0%0%20%50%33%
Loses25%60%44%20%25%22%

Form: Liverpool: WWWWWLLLL • Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Liverpool Aston Villa
HATHAT
GF total8816639
GF avg2.01.61.81.20.81.0
GA total5914538
GA avg1.31.81.61.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiverpoolAston Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%78%56%67%
1.544%67%33%11%
2.522%11%11%11%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiverpoolAston Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricLiverpoolAston Villa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLiverpoolAston Villa
Wins50
Draws02
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-33-11-2
Biggest losses1-23-20-31-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against2331

Model comparison

MetricLiverpoolAston Villa
Form19%81%
Att44%56%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h75%25%
Goals65%35%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : Liverpool or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 1xBet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away5.03 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.52 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liverpool = 1.02 (league 1.56), Aston Villa = 0.84 (league 1.24)

Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool 0 15.5% 13.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.8% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.1% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 29.1%

Vtot 89 , Vtod4